UCLA vs Washington 11/18/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with UCLA winning 49% of simulations, and Washington 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. UCLA commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. Washington wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Johnathan Franklin is averaging 111 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Chris Polk is averaging 96 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WAS -3

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